This paper builds a hierarchy of explicit, non-asymptotic tail bounds for the supremum of the Kostlan--Shub--Smale (KSS) random field on the sphere, and applies it to two problems: Spiked Tensor PCA and the landscape of the spherical $k$-spin model. For Tensor PCA, we study the non-asymptotic statistical limits of estimating a rank-$R$ symmetric signal tensor of order~$k\ge 3$ and dimension~$d\ge 3$ from a single Gaussian observation at signal-to-noise ratio~$λ$, through the \emph{profile maximum likelihood estimator}, the MLE restricted to normalized rank-$R$ tensors of coherence at least~$κ$. Our analysis uses a single reduction: a deterministic geometric inequality (the Tube Method) and a rank-reduction step bound the estimation error by the supremum of the canonical KSS field, which the Kac--Rice formula turns into a Gaussian integral against the expected absolute characteristic polynomial of a shifted Gaussian Orthogonal Ensemble, controlled in turn by the four explicit tail bounds of our hierarchy (three from a Mehta--Fyodorov representation, one from a Ben Arous--Dembo--Guionnet large deviation). The same reduction yields two results, each with explicit constants. For estimation, a finite-$(k,d)$ error bound recovers the asymptotically optimal rate~$\sqrt{d\log k}$ of Perry, Wein and Bandeira, with explicit dependence on the rank~$R$ and the coherence~$κ$. For the landscape, a two-sided non-asymptotic bracketing of the annealed complexity of the spherical $k$-spin Hamiltonian recovers the Auffinger--Ben Arous--Černý complexity function in the high-dimensional limit.

We present Free-MESSAGEp, the first zeroth-order algorithm for convex mean-semideviation-based risk-aware learning, which is also the first three-level zeroth-order compositional stochastic optimization algorithm, whatsoever. Using a non-trivial extension of Nesterov's classical results on Gaussian smoothing, we develop the Free-MESSAGEp algorithm from first principles, and show that it essentially solves a smoothed surrogate to the original problem, the former being a uniform approximation of the latter, in a useful, convenient sense. We then present a complete analysis of the Free-MESSAGEp algorithm, which establishes convergence in a user-tunable neighborhood of the optimal solutions of the original problem, as well as explicit convergence rates for both convex and strongly convex costs. Orderwise, and for fixed problem parameters, our results demonstrate no sacrifice in convergence speed compared to existing first-order methods, while striking a certain balance among the condition of the problem, its dimensionality, as well as the accuracy of the obtained results, naturally extending previous results in zeroth-order risk-neutral learning.